Correcttechhigh confidence
U.S. Will Expand AI Chip Export Controls to 5 More Countries
Projection
The Biden administration will extend advanced AI chip export restrictions covering 8 countries - exceeding our projection. The restrictions target advanced AI chips and manufacturing equipment, validating our thesis about escalating technology competition.
Rationale
Projection Window
100% elapsed
Start
Jan 1, 2025
End
Mar 31, 2025
Evidence
Correct
Outcome
On January 15, 2025, the Commerce Department announced expanded export controls covering 8 countries - exceeding our projection. The restrictions target advanced AI chips and manufacturing equipment, validating our thesis about escalating technology competition.
AIExport ControlsSemiconductorsChina
What do you think of this projection?
Comments (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!