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China Will Announce $2+ Trillion Stimulus Package

Published November 20, 2024

Projection

Chinese authorities will unveil a stimulus package exceeding $2 trillion USD equivalent by Q2 2025.

Rationale

Property sector stress, weak consumer confidence, and deflation risks will force Beijing's hand. Political pressure to hit growth targets is mounting.

Projection Window

Time remaining

100% elapsed

Start

Mar 1, 2025

End

Jun 30, 2025

Evidence

Politburo Readout Property Market Data

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Will China announce $2T+ stimulus by Q2 2025?

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