In Progressmarketshigh confidence24-Hour Watch
ECB Will Cut Rates by 100bps in First Half of 2025
Projection
The European Central Bank will reduce rates by a full percentage point between January and June 2025.
Rationale
Weak European growth, declining inflation, and political pressure will force aggressive easing. Germany's recession and France's fiscal challenges create urgency.
Projection Window
Time remaining
Start
Jan 1, 2025
End
Jun 30, 2025
Evidence
What's Your Call?
677 votesWill the ECB cut rates by 100bps in H1 2025?
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