In Progresstechmedium confidence24-Hour Watch
Tesla Will Launch Commercial Robotaxi Service in 3 U.S. Cities
Projection
Tesla will begin commercial robotaxi operations in at least three U.S. cities by Q4 2025.
Rationale
FSD version 13 has shown significant improvements in urban environments, and regulatory approvals in Texas and Arizona are progressing. Musk's timeline may slip, but limited commercial launch is achievable by year-end.
Projection Window
Time remaining
Start
Oct 1, 2025
End
Dec 31, 2025
Evidence
What's Your Call?
943 votesWill Tesla launch robotaxi service in 3 U.S. cities by Q4 2025?
TeslaAutonomous VehiclesRobotaxiFSD
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