In Progresspolicylow confidence24-Hour Watch
UK Will Negotiate Single Market Access Agreement with EU
Projection
The United Kingdom will begin formal negotiations for partial single market access by Q3 2025.
Rationale
Economic underperformance post-Brexit and Labour government's pragmatic approach will drive closer EU alignment. Focus will be on services and regulatory cooperation rather than full membership.
Projection Window
Time remaining
Start
Jul 1, 2025
End
Sep 30, 2025
Evidence
What's Your Call?
866 votesWill the UK begin single market access negotiations by Q3 2025?
UKBrexitEUSingle MarketTrade
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